Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Market Psychology


Perhaps the most difficult to define (there are no balance sheets or income statements), market psychology influences the foreign exchange industry in a variety of ways:
Buy the rumor, sell the fact: This industry truism can apply to numerous currency situations. It is the tendency for the cost of a currency to reflect the impact of a particular action before it occurs and, when the anticipated event comes to pass, react in exactly the opposite direction. This may also be referred to as a marketplace being oversold or overbought.
Flights to quality: Unsettling international events can lead to a flight to quality with investors seeking a safe haven. There will be a greater demand, thus a higher cost, for currencies perceived as stronger over their relatively weaker counterparts.
Longterm trends: Very often, currency marketplaces move in long, pronounced trends. While currencies do not have an annual growing season like physical commodities, business cycles do make themselves felt. Cycle analysis looks at longertrem cost trends that may rise form economic or political trends.
Economic numbers: While economic numbers can certainly reflect economic policy, some reports and numbers take on a talismanlike effect the number itself becomes important to industry psychology and may have an immediate impact on shortterm market moves. What to watch can change over time. In recent years, for example, money supply, employment, trade balance figures and inflation numbers have all taken turns in the spotlight.

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Factors Affecting Currency Trading


Even if exchange rates are affected by numbers of factors, in the end, currency costs are a result of supply and require forces. The worlds currency markets can be considered as a massive melting pot: in a big and changing mix of current events, supply and demand ingredients are constantly switching, and the cost of one currency in relation to a second shifts accordingly. No additional marketplace comprehends as much of what is proceeding in the community at any given time as foreign currency exchange.
Supply and demand for any given currency, and thus its value, are not influenced by any single element, but rather by several. These elements generally fall into three categories: economic ingredients, political conditions and marketplace psychology.

Wednesday, August 20, 2008

Indonesia fast needed to export alocation to traditional market for Japan and America.
After economi crisis america experince, as the crisis effec from subprime mortage, Japan to flare up too. That economi country to contraction experience at second 3th month. That is effec from export and customer buying turn off.
This to maked the big economic country in Asia "waterfall" to the 1st resesi included six last year.

Thursday, August 14, 2008

Market opportunities of indonesia


Demand for overseas education in Indonesia is concentrated, for the most part, in the major cities of Java such as Jakarta, Bandung, Surabaya and Sumatra (Medan), as well as, to a lesser extent, in the smaller cities of Semarang and Yogyakarta. Economically, socially and politically, Indonesia remains very much a centralised state and Jakarta is the heart of the economic and social life of the country. With wide access to information it is unsurprising, therefore, that Jakarta provides a large majority of Indonesians choosing the UK as study destination.
A one-year master’s degree course is the Unique Selling Point for Education UK in the Indonesian market with around 60 percent of Indonesia students who continue their study in UK pursuing a Postgraduate programme.
However, competition in this market is getting tougher and we seen for the last two years the number of postgraduate students from Indonesia is declining due to several reasons:
• The competition for Postgraduate programme currently is not only coming from traditional study destination countries such as Australia and USA but also from countries like Japan, Germany and Netherlands where programme deliver in English.
• The cost of study abroad still one of the main issue for most of the students, perception of high cost in UK (study and living) due to higher exchange rate for UK Pound sterling compare to other currencies.
• Increasing quality of higher education in Indonesia through international collaboration and curriculum development, students have a more affordability option to continue their postgraduate degree in Indonesia
It is the undergraduate sector that shows slight growth in the last two years with the increased numbers of National Plus Schools offering IB and A-Level programs that can provide direct entry to the undergraduate program in the UK. There is a potential for this market to develop more in the future. Australia and the USA used to be a dominant position in this market, but Malaysia and Singapore are now becoming more active in the Indonesian market, recruiting undergraduate students and as result now they are the key market in this sector.
The market leaders remain to be USA and Australia, with Germany, Netherlands and Japan grows its popularity among the students at the postgraduate level.
The USA has been recruiting Indonesian students for longer than other competitors. AMINEF provides information on study opportunities in the USA, and 'family tradition', whereby one or other parent or a brother / sister may have attended an American university, is often a major contributory factor in an Indonesian choosing to study there.
Australia makes extensive use of agents, and has geographical proximity to Indonesia (important to parents) and a favourable climate as its main attractions. It support with continuous visits and promotion that Australia University does in Indonesia either by them selves or with the education agents. Australia University also very active in creating link and partnership with Indonesia universities.
In the undergraduate sector besides USA and Australia, alternative destinations such as Malaysia and Singapore remain popular, especially Malaysia, which is able to attract a large number of undergraduate students from Indonesia each year because of their off-shore programme with Australia and UK universities.
In the face of these competitors, encouraging self-funding Indonesians to 'dare to be different' by opting to study in the UK is the kernel of the challenge. It will need intensive promotion of UK Education through different channel (exhibition, education agents and school and university network) to maintain our market share in the future.

Our infrastructure and strategic education priorities
Starting from November 2004, British Council Indonesia moves to a new office located in the main business district area at the Jakarta Stock Exchange Building. There is limited access for visitors and we do not provide any consultation to students or display promotion materials for this reason. Much of our Education UK work now is delivered by working with local partners (education agents, educational institutions and scholarship providers) and visits through Education UK presentations and exhibitions.
As part of our support for the development of higher education in Indonesia and building good partnerships between UK and Indonesian higher institutions, our focus now will be targeted at 50 promising universities that already been identified by the MoNE providing them opportunity for development of programme and research collaboration using PMI2 and DelPHE. Through PMI2 programme and symposium we also want to improve our level of engagement and working relations with policy makers from Ministry of National Education.
Education UK regularly runs two major exhibitions per year, in April and November (for postgraduate programmes only). Major exhibitions are usually held in Jakarta and Bandung. Based on the current review on the service and value for money of British Council exhibition compare to other similar exhibition run by agents we will continue to find complementary activities/services that could support our major exhibition. At the Education UK Postgraduate Exhibition in November 2007 we run UK Alumni Job Fair in Jakarta, trying to build the reputation and creating positive perceptions towards UK qualifications among the major companies and prospective students in Indonesia. The response from the alumni and participating companies were positive and we are aiming to make the Job Fair as the annual event.
We also look for new market opportunity by expanding our reach and activities to major cities outside Java like Makassar, Pekanbaru and Palembang through mini exhibition, institutional visits and attending agents’ exhibition. Activities will be focusing a tighter geographical with possibly large potential students – targeting major Indonesian cities where the prospects for successful recruitment of students seem most promising, thereby delivered an effective approach in the Indonesia market.
A database of 465 high schools and 150 universities in eight major cities in Indonesia has been developed which could be use by UK institution to target specific institutions for promotion and partnership purpose.

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Market Characteristics of Indonesia


Market characteristics by British Council
The Indonesian education system recognizes two different paths of education: school education and non-formal education. Non-formal education is aimed at developing learners’ potentials with emphasis on the acquisition of knowledge and functional skills and developing personality and professional attitudes.
Nowadays, Indonesia school education adopts a six-three-three-four school education system, which consists of six years of primary, three years of junior secondary, three years of higher secondary, and four years of higher education.
• Primary school: has a duration of six years of education, and receives new pupils regardless of having graduated from Kindergarten or not. Based on the effective legislation, primary school was basic education that continued after the entire education of Kindergarten. This consists of a general education program.
• Junior & Senior Secondary School: with a total six years of study (three years at Junior level and three years at Senior level) after Primary School. There has been a rapid growth in the range of types of vocational senior secondary schools such as — Higher Secondary School-Economics, Higher Secondary School-Family Welfare, and Secondary Technical School — the other types of schools developed were: Teacher Education School, Higher Secondary Sports School, Household Technology Secondary School, Secondary School on Social Education, Secondary School on Industrial Handicraft, Secondary School on Indonesian Arts, Secondary School of Art, Secondary School of Music, and Secondary School on Agricultural Technology.
• Higher Education University; with three to four years for bachelor level and five to seven years for graduate level taken up through university, institute, academy, or other higher education institutions

Saturday, August 9, 2008

Education of market Indonesian Info


Education
In education, the Government of Indonesia made political commitments for achieving basic education for all. In this broader context, national level reflections were engaged for developing a new vision of education, as part of the reform in Indonesia, which emphasise the implementation of the principles of democracy, autonomy, decentralization, and public accountability. The reforms in the education system have given prominence to enhancing its performance in the framework of even distribution of educational opportunities. This reform process has a fundamental impact on the national education system and it’s mission to meet various challenges in the present day world.
The key targets include expansion and equity; the improvement of quality and relevance and the implementation of autonomy in higher education. The Law seeks to open access to education at all levels and all forms - formal, non-formal, as well as informal - for all the citizens of Indonesia. Its main thrust is to make education relevant to societal needs; to develop further community-based education; and to enhance participation by the community in supporting basic education. It provides rights and obligations of citizens, parents, community, and Government.
Indonesian government through its Ministry of National Education (MoNE) now is pushing universities in Indonesia to achieve a prominent international position in the world especially in Asia through joint collaboration in research and programme with university abroad. In order to support this Directorate General of Higher Education already identified 50 promising universities from 2,315 higher education institutions (81 state institutions and 2,235 private institutions) in Indonesia in the effort to introduce those institutions to the academic community in the world enabling them to choose an appropriate partner to establish cooperation. These 50 promising universities were selected based on: Awards, Student Life, Facility, Research and Community Service and International Collaboration.
For the development of teaching staff quality at higher education institution (universities), MoNE providing scholarships opportunity for lecturers taking master degree and PhD abroad. In 2008 it’s expected that 500 lectures will be receiving this scholarships.

Tuesday, August 5, 2008

Economic of indonesian info


Realease by British Council
Indonesia’s economy is on a moderate growth path with GDP expected to rise by 6-6.5 percent during 2006-2007, supported by stronger domestic consumption and investment. Gross investment is expected to increase to 22-26 percent of GDP, stimulated by the new Government’s planned measures to enhance certainty for investors.
The government’s new Medium Term Development Plan for the next five years, aims to raise the economic growth target to six or seven percent a year, lower the unemployment rate from 20.26 percent in 2005 to 6.7 percent in 2009 and to achieve a reduction in poverty incidence from 16.6 percent in 2004 to eight point two percent in 2009.
Economic growth in Indonesia has increased to 6.3 per cent in 2007 compare to 5 per cent in 2006 despite recent turbulence in financial market and oil prices. In 2008 the World Bank estimates that the growth will increase to 6.4 per cent in 2008 supported by the growth in domestic investment and exports. Reflecting the strong economic growth, unemployment declined from 10.6 per cent in 2006 to 9.8 per cent in 2007.

Monday, August 4, 2008

Market environment of indonesia


Release by British Council
Indonesia is an archipelago country with 18,108 islands, about 6,000 of which are inhabited. It is located in Southern East Asia bordering Malaysia, Papua New Guinea, Singapore, Australia, the Philippines and East Timor.
Indonesia’s total area is 1.9 million square kilometres spanning 3.977 miles from East to West and consisting of 3 time zones. Currently, Indonesia has 33 provinces. The density varies greatly from island to island. The capital city is Jakarta which is one of the densest populated cities in the world with 12,957 inhabitants per sq km.
The total population in year 2005 is estimated at 225.3 million with an equal proportion of men and women. According to age structure, the population composition is:
• 29.1 percent of 0-14 years
• 65.7 percent of 15-64 years
• 5.2 percent of 65 years and over.
The current estimated population growth rate is 1.45 percent.
Indonesians are identified with an ethnic entity, often linked to a specific language, customs and traditions and regional origins. Islam is Indonesia’s main religion (almost 88 percent of all Indonesians), making Indonesia the most populous Muslim-majority nation in the world.

Saturday, August 2, 2008

IDX Series of Event in Padang

IDX Series of Event in Padang
to Mark the 31st Anniversary of the Capital Market Reactivation in Indonesia (1977-2008)

Padang, July 17, 2008

Padang – In relation to the 31th Anniversary of the Capital Market in Indonesia, the Indonesian Capital Market and Financial Intitutions Supervisory Agency (Bapepam-LK), Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), Indonesian Clearing and Guarantee Corporation (KPEI) and Indonesian Central Securities Depository (KSEI) held a series of socialization and corporate social responsibility events in Padang.

As a start off, IDX organized a Forum for Potential Investors entitled “Investing in Capital Market To Grow Your Wealth”. This event aimed to introduce the society of Padang and its surroundings to the Capital Market as an alternative investment.

Together with the forum, IDX also inaugurated its newly established Capital Market Information Center in Padang. The center was inaugurated by the Assitant Governor II of West Sumatera, Mr. Suryadarma Sabirin, and the President Director of Indonesia Stock Exchange, Mr. Erry Firmansyah.

IDX is optimist that the establishment of the Capital Market Information Center in Padang will broaden the horizon of the local society regarding Capital Market as an alternative place to invest and a main source of funding. Moreover, it hopes that the center in Padang could attract more local companies to be listed in IDX and support the development of local companies in the region. Currently, IDX has opened several Capital Market Information Centers in Makassar, Riau, Balikpapan, Palembang, Pekalongan, Manado, Jember and Pontianak to make closer the IDX and the capital market participants, as well as the potential investors in the regions.

Furthermore, as a form of concern and solidarity, together Bapepam-LK, IDX, KPEI and KSEI helped to rebuild the SDN 01 Singkarak primary school, which was ruined by the earthquake. Positive results are expected by this effort to re-build these public facilities after the earthquake, especially in the learning facilities of the region. Up to day, the CSR activities organized are mainly related to the education world, based on the understanding that education is the most important factor in the development of our young generation. Thus, the inauguration of the SDN 01 Singkarang on Saturday, 19th July 2008 was performed by the Indonesia’s Minister of Finance, Ms. Sri mulyani Indrawati. Also present at the inauguration were the Governor of West Sumatera, the Regent of Solok, the Chairman of Bapepam-LK and the President Director of IDX, KPEI and KSEI. On the inauguration day, twelve students with high achievements and 10 students of SDN 01 Singkarang coming from poor families, were granted scholarships.

Friday, August 1, 2008

U.S. stocks mostly lower on economic worries

U.S. stocks mostly lower on economic worries
3:43 p.m. 07/31/2008 By Nick Godt Provided by
Motorola swings to profit, boosts tech shares
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- U.S. stocks were mostly lower Thursday, and the market was on track for a mixed performance in the month of July, as economic concerns resurfaced after data showed weaker growth than expected in the second quarter and a big jump in jobless claims.
"The data were a little disturbing, especially jobless claims that near critical level," said Paul Mendelsohn, chief investment strategist at Windham Financial Services. "The GDP also came up short of expectations, and the general feeling is that now the [tax] stimulus is gone, what comes next?"
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) was down 113 points, or 1%, at 11,473, with 21 of its 30 components retreating.
The blue-chip average had rallied nearly 450 points over the past two sessions and was still on track to post a 1% gain for the month of July.
"We moved up over 400 points over the past few days," Mendelsohn said. "Taking a little breather now makes some sense."
Among blue chips, shares of Dow component Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) fell 3.3% after the oil giant's earnings surged 14% but still missed analysts' expectations. Away from the Dow, Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA) fell, after also missing estimates.
The energy sector was under heavy selling pressure as crude futures slumped 2.1% to end at $124.08 a barrel after surging on Wednesday.
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) was down 10.5 points, or 0.8%, to 1,273, led lower by a 3% drop in the energy sector. While consumer-discretionary stocks got a reprieve from falling oil, the financial sector also gave back some of its strong gains from Wednesday.
The S&P was down 0.5% for the month of July.
Shares of Walt Disney Co. (DIS), another blue-chip stock, slumped 4% even after the company reported a larger fiscal third-quarter profit than expected.
General Motors Corp. (GM) fell 3% after Standard & Poor's cut its ratings on the automaker, along with those of Ford Motor Co. (F) and those of Chrysler LLC.
The Nasdaq Composite Index (COMP) remained higher, gaining 4 points, or 0.2%, to end at 2,334. The technology-heavy index has still gained 1.8% in July.
Tech shares received a boost from Motorola Inc. (MOT), whose shares jumped 12% after the mobile-device maker said that it swung to a second-quarter gain of $4 million, or break-even per share, from a loss of $28 million or a penny a share in the year-ago period. Wall Street analysts forecast a loss of 4 cents a share on revenue of $7.7 billion, according to a survey by FactSet Research.
Economy
The Commerce Department said that growth rose 1.9% in the second quarter, lower than the 2.3% expected from economists surveyed by MarketWatch. Growth figures for the first quarter and fourth quarter of 2007 also were revised lower.
Separately, the Labor Department said that initial claims for unemployment benefits jumped up 44,000 to 448,000 in the week ended July 26.
Elsewhere, ImClone Systems Inc. (IMCL) surged after Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. (BMY) offered $60 a share, or $4.5 billion for its partner on the Erbitux drug.
Shares of MasterCard Inc. (MA) gained after news late Wednesday that the company will be added to the S&P 500 Index on July 1 and after reporting a better-than-forecast rise in adjusted profit.
Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) rose after the coffee retailer offered a positive outlook late Wednesday on its restructuring.
Shares of Akamai Technologies (AKAM) were off 20% after the Web-software firm met earnings expectations but saw revenues disappoint.
U.S. stocks closed sharply higher on Wednesday, continuing a rally from the previous session after a stronger-than-expected private-sector jobs report helped offset a rebound in oil prices. The Dow industrials rose 186 points, the S&P 500 rose 21 points and the Nasdaq added 10 points.